Mortgage lending in Poland to resume growthâ€”but not until 2014
|MORTGAGE LENDING EVOLUTION IN POLAND
2013-02-25 21:14:50 - â€śThe value of outstanding mortgage lending in Poland inched up a mere 1% in 2012, reaching a total 316 billion PLN at year end. Also, 2013 is not likely to bring a significant improvement as positive factorsâ€”including a new governmental support program for first-time homebuyers, a more-relaxed regulatory environment, lower nominal interest rates, and higher affordability of real estate due to lower pricesâ€”are not expected to take full effect until 2014,â€ť explains Marcin Mazurek, Director of Inteliace Research, a consulting company specializing in CEE financial-markets research.
While total mortgage debt remained stable, big changes took place in its currency structure. While the value of fx-denominated loans affected by regulatory tightening and strengthening currency contracted by 10%, a solid 18% growth in local currency loans compensated for the loss. The frequently used indicator of market development, outstanding debt-to-GDP ratio, contracted for the first time in recent history
from 20.6% in 2011 to 19.8% in 2012.
The mortgage lending market is expected to remain sluggish during most of 2013 but gradually improve through 2015 as positive factorsâ€”including a new governmental support program for first-time homebuyers, a more-relaxed regulatory environment, lower nominal interest rates, and higher affordability due to lower prices of real estateâ€”will take full effect.
For more information on recent developments in the Polish mortgage market, please refer to the publication "Mortgage Lending in Poland, 2013â€“2015," available at www.inteliace.com.
ABOUT THE REPORT
â€śMortgage Lending in Poland, 2013â€“2015â€ť is the latest full update of Inteliaceâ€™s annual publication on the mortgage-lending sector in Poland. The report describes the present market structure and recent trends in the market, and it also provides forecasts of the outstanding value of mortgages for the years 2013 through 2015.
ABOUT INTELIACE RESEARCH
Inteliace Research is an independent consulting company that focuses on the financial markets in Central and Eastern Europe. Inteliace Research specializes in management consulting and custom research services, including market-entry strategy, product launch, and performance and benchmarking analysis. During 2005â€“2013, Inteliace Research provided its products and services to more than 60 clients, including major CEE banks and several "The Banker" top world banks. To learn more about Inteliace Research, please visit its webpage: www.inteliace.com.