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Nordea: Further improvement in housing affordability


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Copyright © Hugin AS 2009. All rights reserved.
2009-11-26 08:38:06 -


London, November , 26, 2009
Housing affordability continued to improve in the second and third
quarters of 2009. At the end of the third quarter the index value on
nationwide level was 31.0 compared to 32.4 in the first quarter. The
value is now at its lowest since 1989 when Nordea started its
calculation of the index. The currently record low interest rates on
housing loans enhance housing affordability. During the review period
the interest rate dropped to 2.3 per cent from 3 per cent in the
first quarter.

Housing affordability scored lowest in Helsinki (43.6) showing a
decrease of 0.9 index points. The monthly loan servicing cost of a
household living in Helsinki remained unchanged compared to the first
quarter at EUR 747. Housing affordability was best in Pori (20.6)
where monthly loan servicing cost declined by EUR 26 to EUR 290. The
lower the index value is, the greater the housing affordability.

Home prices rose throughout Finland

The average price of a home in Finland is EUR 149,376. In Helsinki
the average price is EUR 244,224. Housing is least expensive in Pori
where the average price is EUR 94,771.

- The housing affordability index reached an all-time high in the
third quarter. The servicing costs of a new housing loan in relation
to income were now even lower than at the end of 1996 when they were
previously at their lowest. Housing affordability was poorest in 1989
when the critical level of 100 points was clearly broken especially
in the Greater Helsinki Area, says Nordea's Private Economist Anu
Numminen.

However, housing affordability is not as advantageous as it could be
in all areas; as in the case of Helsinki city centre. Housing
affordability is still markedly better than in the previous peaks in
Oulu and Jyväskylä, for example.

- This time housing affordability is strongly enhanced by the
exceptionally low interest rates. Calculated with the average
interest during the euro era (4.4 per cent), housing affordability
would now correspond to the average level of the past 10 years. Short
rates are likely to remain low well into 2010, but borrowers should
keep in mind that over the next 10 years interest rates may be on the
level witnessed in the euro era so far, or may rise even higher, says
Economist Reijo Heiskanen.


                         Monthly loan servicing  Index  Index
              Home price          cost           1/2009 3/2009 Change
Whole Finland  149,376             457            32.4   31.0   -1.4
Helsinki       244,224             747            44.5   43.6   -0.9
Espoo          213,581             654            37.7   36.7   -1.0
Porvoo         158,515             485            36.3   32.5   -3.8
Vantaa         172,186             527            36.2   33.9   -2.3
Tampere        152,448             466            33.6   31.5   -2.1
Hämeenlinna    126,874             388            29.5   27.9   -1.6
Kuopio         132,173             404            30.0   28.5   -1.5
Turku          128,410             393            29.6   27.8   -1.8
Joensuu        123,648             378            29.7   27.8   -1.9
Mikkeli        122,035             373            28.6   28.0   -0.6
Lappeenranta   125,875             385            29.5   27.6   -1.9
Jyväskylä      128,717             394            28.5   27.0   -1.5
Vaasa          118,502             363            25.5   24.5   -1.0
Oulu           118,886             364            26.6   24.9   -1.7
Lahti          114,509             350            27.4   25.4   -2.0
Seinäjoki      110,362             338            26.0   24.6   -1.4
Kokkola        112,051             343            25.2   24.5   -0.7
Kotka          101,760             311            24.3   21.6   -2.7
Rovaniemi       99,379             304            25.2   21,5   -3.7
Pori            94771              290            22.9   20,6   -2.3
Kajaani         96768              396            21.5   20,9   -0.6



In this index housing loan costs are calculated for a surface area of
76.8 square metres, which, according to Statistics Finland, is the
average size of a home in Finland. The loan taken out to purchase the
home is 70 per cent of the purchase price and the loan period is 25
years.

The basis for the index is that loan costs, excluding tax deductions,
should not exceed 25% of a household's gross income. If the index is
100, the household spends 25 per cent of its gross income for loan
servicing.

For further information:
Anu Numminen, Private Economist, +358 9 165 88218, +358 50 597 0447
Reijo Heiskanen, Economist, +358 9 165 59942, +358 50 568 6623

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