2013-10-25 07:34:59 - Home underdogs in Sunday night divisional contests tend to keep scoring to a minimum says Vegas Experts
The Minnesota Vikings’ 2013 NFL season is currently in major crisis mode, with a 1-6 record and a difficult home game this Sunday night against its NFC North rival, the Green Bay Packers, next on the schedule. Based on research from the sports handicapping website Vegas Experts, a low-scoring game appears to be what’s in store for both teams
The website looked into how home underdogs in divisional games did on Sunday night games, and found that a key area that sports handicappers can focus on would be in the area of totals. Presently, the Minnesota-Green Bay game has a total of 47.
In 17 games with a Sunday night home underdog since the start of the 2003 season, the under has
been the correct call 13 times whentotals are considered. Sunday night’s matchup will be the first test of this NFL trend for the 2013 season.
Last year, there were two instances in which the theory was tested, both coming in games between teams from the AFC North.
In the first game, a Week Seven matchup had the hometown Cincinnati Bengals an underdog by a point to the Pittsburgh Steelers, with a total of 46. Pittsburgh won 24-17, staying below the listed number.
Four weeks later, the Steelers were the home underdog, this time by a field goal against the Baltimore Ravens, and with a total of 40.5. The Ravens emerged with a close 13-10 victory, never coming close the oddsmakers number.