2013-10-05 21:54:24 - When coming off a Sunday Night game, home underdogs have been one of the weaker NFL picks says the sports handicapping website Vegas Experts
How home underdogs react to playing after a game on Sunday night was the basis for research by the sports handicapping website Vegas Experts.
Numerous studies have looked at the effect of how teams come back from a shortened week due to playing on Monday night, but the website sought to find a common denominator that offered pertinent statistics for games played the previous night.
That common denominator came in the form of home underdogs, which have done poorly over the past decade in a team’s first game following a Sunday night appearance.
Since 2003, the overall record for those home underdogs is just 6-19, and the mark for such teams when it comes to the Las Vegas betting line is almost as
bad: a 7-16-2 record.
After four weeks of action, there has been just one example of this NFL trend: in week two, the New York Giants hosted the Denver Broncos as underdogs of 4.5 points. One week earlier, they had lost on the road to the Dallas Cowboys by a 36-31 score. Denver easily defeated the Giants by a score of 41-23.
This trend has not developed too often over the selected time frame, occurring roughly two to three times per year. Last season, it happened just once, in a week nine matchup between the Cincinnati Bengals and the Broncos. Cincinnati was a five-point underdog, but lost by a 31-23 score.